First Notice

The residential program market, before it hits the trades.

This Week in Programs: Landlord & Homeowners

Issue #7 · September 14, 2026 · covering September 7 to 14

Orion180 and Bamboo put price ranges on homeowners program businesses five days apart, just as executives KBW surveyed put January 1 property catastrophe reinsurance down at least 10%. One detail worth a second look: every one of Bamboo's 35 million shares is being sold by CVC and White Mountains.

Update, October 2026: Orion180 priced at $12.00 on September 17, below its $15 to $17 range, and traded near $9 by mid-October. Bamboo postponed its IPO on September 22 without pricing. Risk Market Infrastructure withdrew its protest notice on September 14, and Florida's OIR said on September 15 it could not yet approve the clearinghouse.


Orion180 Insurance Group set an IPO price range of $15.00 to $17.00 per share on September 9, offering 20 million shares for up to $340 million on Nasdaq. Five days later Bamboo Insurance set a range of $18.00 to $20.00 on 35 million NYSE shares, every one of them secondary stock sold by CVC Capital Partners and White Mountains. Two homeowners program businesses have set price ranges in front of public investors in the same week that KBW put January 1, 2027 property catastrophe reinsurance down at least 10%, Plenum measured the catastrophe bond market coupon at 8.87% and falling, and Washington's Office of the Insurance Commissioner relayed an industry projection of $600 million of insured wildfire losses, $535 million of it residential.

Launches & new products

Bamboo launched an admitted Texas homeowners product built around roof and loss-settlement choices. Bamboo Insurance announced the Texas Essential Homeowner Program on September 9, an admitted homeowners product that lets policyholders tailor roof coverage, water coverage and loss-settlement options to the home's age, condition and budget. The program carries optional add-ons, premium credits for qualifying home improvements, and discounts for claim-free homeowners and recent home buyers. It follows Bamboo's California Essential launch in July 2026. No carrier, capacity figure or premium target is disclosed for the Texas program. (Insurance Journal, National Law Review)

→ For MGA operators: Bamboo put a roof-coverage and loss-settlement toggle into Texas on September 9, five days before TDI's September 14 deadline to report back to Governor Abbott on banning declinations based on roof age, and the product is the mechanism that keeps an old roof insurable if that ban arrives.

TrueNorth built an internal underwriting facility for aging condominium and apartment property. TrueNorth Companies, a privately held risk management and insurance brokerage in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, launched a property program on September 8 for community associations, meaning condominiums, homeowners associations and townhome communities, plus apartment properties across market-rate, affordable and student housing. TrueNorth built the program around an internal underwriting facility so each property is evaluated on its own merits instead of blanket restrictions keyed to a building's age or claims history. The announcement names no carrier, capacity, limit, deductible structure or state footprint. (Insurance Journal)

→ For program administrators: TrueNorth's Sept 8 release names no carrier, capacity or states, so the facility's risk-bearing partner is the first question for any association board.

Capacity & fronting

KBW put January 1, 2027 property catastrophe rates down at least 10%. In a report published September 11 following the Rendez-Vous de Septembre, KBW said most of the re/insurance executives it spoke with across 16 company meetings expect property catastrophe excess-of-loss rates to decline by 10% or more at the January 1, 2027 renewal, a smaller reduction than at January 1, 2026 and at the Florida-weighted June 1, 2026 renewal. A broker stress test cited by KBW found that turning the expected 10% reduction into a 7% rate increase would take roughly $200 billion of catastrophe losses combined with a 200 basis point rise in interest rates and substantial adverse reserve development. KBW added that actual January 1 pricing is usually worse than the preceding Monte Carlo expectations. (Reinsurance News, Artemis)

→ For fronting carriers and MGA operators: In the broker stress test KBW cited, it would take $200 billion of cat losses plus a 200bp rate rise and adverse reserve development to turn the expected decline into a 7% increase.

The catastrophe bond market coupon fell to 8.87% in August, 13% below a year ago. Plenum Investments index data published September 9 put the overall catastrophe bond market coupon at a rounded 8.87% by August 28, 2026, down 4.5% in the month and down 13% from 10.22% in August 2025. The risk spread fell 17% over the same twelve months, from 6.07% to 5.05%, while the risk-free collateral return declined from 4.15% to 3.81% and modelled expected loss rose from 2.24% to 2.50%. The monthly path runs 8.80% in December 2025, 9.27% on May 1, a peak of 9.46% on June 26, then 9.29% on July 31 and 8.87% on August 28. Plenum said market yield has now reached 2020 levels on a spread basis. (Artemis)

→ For reinsurers/ILS and PE-VC investors: Spread down 17% while expected loss rose from 2.24% to 2.50% is investors accepting less compensation for more modelled risk, and that is the pricing a residential sponsor coming to the catastrophe bond market in the fourth quarter will be quoted against.

Indemnity triggers reached almost 78% of 2026 catastrophe bond issuance as risk moved off residual markets. Artemis reported on September 10 that indemnity-triggered catastrophe bonds now account for almost 78% of limit issued or tracked so far in 2026, up from 67.5% in 2022, 72.5% in 2023, 73% in 2024 and 75.6% in 2025. Per-occurrence structures now make up 63.9% of outstanding risk capital against 36.1% for aggregate bonds, a reversal from March 2019 when aggregate bonds were 58% of the market. Artemis attributed the move to primary insurers preferring indemnity structures that mirror traditional reinsurance and to risk shifting away from residual markets, including Florida Citizens Property Insurance's downsizing, and counted 14 first-time sponsors in 2026 against 15 in all of 2025, out of a database of nearly $224 billion of historical issuance. (Artemis)

→ For MGA operators and state entrants: Fourteen first-time sponsors in nine months against 15 in all of 2025 is the clearest measure of how far down the size curve catastrophe bond capacity has reached, and an indemnity share near 78% means a residential program sponsor no longer has to accept basis risk to get in.

S&P said retrocession is returning and its benchmark reinsurers could absorb more than $300 billion of industry losses. S&P Global Ratings said in commentary published September 9 that retrocession use is rising again as pricing softens and capacity expands, and that collateralized tail protection has stayed largely stable against prior-year levels. As of January 1, 2026 S&P's benchmark reinsurer group had ceded roughly 50% of a modelled 1-in-250-year event to retrocession. S&P projects the group could withstand industry-wide losses above $300 billion without breaching capital adequacy thresholds, and expects 19 of its 20 benchmark reinsurers to hold their capital adequacy and earnings scores under a 1-in-250-year scenario. (Artemis)

→ For fronting carriers and reinsurers/ILS: Fifty percent of a 1-in-250 event ceded to retro at January 1, 2026 is the leverage behind the reinsurance quotes a residential program will see for 2027, and it is the number that moves first if retro pricing turns.

RenaissanceRe returned $1 billion to third-party investors in 2026 and called it right-sizing. Chris Parry, global head of RenaissanceRe Capital Partners, said in a September 9 interview that RenaissanceRe has returned $1 billion to investors across its DaVinci, Vermeer, Top Layer and Fontana vehicles during 2026 through share repurchases and dividends, framing the move as deliberate right-sizing of insurance-linked securities capital. DaVinci reaches its 25th anniversary in October 2026. (Artemis, Artemis)

→ For reinsurers/ILS and PE-VC investors: RenaissanceRe handing back $1 billion in the same year Aon Securities counted a record $23 billion sidecar market says the managers closest to United States property risk are shrinking vehicles while allocators are still adding, and DaVinci is the 25-year track record that argument rests on.

Market entries & movers

Orion180 set terms for a Nasdaq IPO of up to $340 million. Orion180 Insurance Group, the Melbourne, Florida excess and surplus and admitted homeowners and private flood writer, launched its IPO on September 9 with 20,000,000 Class A shares at an expected $15.00 to $17.00, plus a 30-day underwriter option on 3,000,000 more, for up to roughly $340 million and a valuation near $1.7 billion at the top of the range. The company reported first-half 2026 net income of $13.5 million on revenue of $80.1 million, against a $3 million net loss on $50.4 million a year earlier, and roughly $601 million of managed premiums written in the twelve months ended June 30. It describes itself as the second-largest excess and surplus homeowners insurer in the United States by direct written premium, operating in 14 states through more than 14,000 independent agents, with founder Kenneth Gregg retaining control through Class B stock. RBC Capital Markets, UBS Investment Bank and Raymond James are lead book-running managers. (GlobeNewswire, Insurance Business)

→ For PE-VC investors and MGA operators: A $1.7 billion top-of-range valuation on $601 million of trailing managed premiums written and $13.5 million of first-half net income is the marketed ask for excess and surplus homeowners.

Bamboo set an $18 to $20 range on 35 million shares, all of them sold by CVC and White Mountains. Bamboo Insurance announced the launch of its IPO on September 14 at an expected $18.00 to $20.00 per share on 35,000,000 Class A shares, with a 30-day underwriter option on up to 5,250,000 more, listing on the New York Stock Exchange under BMB. The release states the offering "consists entirely of secondary shares to be sold by entities affiliated with CVC Capital Partners and White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.," so Bamboo receives no primary proceeds. Bamboo describes itself as "a technology-enabled, underwriting-first, and capital-light managing general underwriter focused on homeowners' coverage." J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley are joint lead book-running managers, with Deutsche Bank Securities, Evercore ISI and Wells Fargo Securities as active bookrunners. (PR Newswire)

→ For PE-VC investors and fronting carriers: An all-secondary book means CVC and White Mountains take the September 14 proceeds and Bamboo's balance sheet gains nothing, which is the clean test of whether a capital-light managing general underwriter needs public money or only wants a public price.

AM Best moved Farm Bureau Property & Casualty to stable on sub-80s combined ratios. AM Best revised its outlook to stable from negative on September 11 for Farm Bureau Property & Casualty Insurance Company and Western Agricultural Insurance Company of West Des Moines, Iowa, affirming Financial Strength Ratings of A (Excellent) and Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings of "a" (Excellent). AM Best cited sustained operating improvement since the second half of 2024 after weak 2022 and 2023 results, driven by better rate adequacy, deductible changes, tighter insurance-to-value management and loss mitigation. The group posted combined ratios in the sub-80s with sizeable underwriting profit through year-end 2025 and continued the trend through June 30, 2026, holds more than $2 billion of policyholders' surplus, and is the largest national writer of farmowners business. AM Best flagged concentration in eight primary states as an ongoing severe weather exposure. (Insurance Journal)

→ For state entrants and reinsurers/ILS: Sub-80s combined ratios on a rural dwelling and farmowners book concentrated in eight states is the performance an inland residential program is competing against for 2027 reinsurance capacity, and AM Best flagged its concentration in eight states as an ongoing severe-weather exposure.

Rate & regulatory

Washington relayed an industry projection of $600 million of insured wildfire losses, $535 million residential. The Washington Office of the Insurance Commissioner said on September 8 that the industry is projecting about $600 million of insured losses to date from wildfires in the state, roughly $535 million of it residential. The Spokane Complex, made up of the Old Trails, Fairview and Autumn Lane fires, burned nearly 10,000 acres and destroyed approximately 900 structures, with Cotality counting 5,256 properties sustaining at least some damage, 96% of them single-family residences, and those damaged single-family homes carrying a combined reconstruction cost value of $1.9 billion. Commissioner Patty Kuderer deployed rapid response teams and is considering letters to insurers, saying she appreciated one carrier voluntarily paying 65% of limits without requiring a contents inventory. On efforts to waive building code requirements for faster rebuilding she said, "I think that's a mistake we saw that when I toured Lahaina and Palisades." (Insurance Journal)

→ For HNW incumbents and program administrators: Kuderer has publicly praised one carrier's 65% limits advance without a contents inventory, the benchmark she will hold other carriers to.

Ryan Specialty protested Florida Citizens' clearinghouse award to Brown & Brown. Risk Market Infrastructure, a Ryan Specialty subsidiary, filed a notice of intent to protest on September 4 against Citizens Property Insurance's award of its commercial clearinghouse contract to Bridge Specialty Group, a Brown & Brown division, reported September 11. Tallahassee attorney Eduardo Lombard filed the notice and asked Citizens to "provide us with the estimated contract amount so that RMI can timely secure a protest bond." Lombard's letter did not explain the grounds. Citizens has not said what the contract may be worth. Under the procedure, a notice of intent must be filed within three days of award and a formal protest within ten days, and an unresolved protest can proceed to the Florida Division of Administrative Hearings. Citizens faces a three-month deadline from the enabling law's effective date to finalize a contract, with an extension available under state law. (Insurance Journal, Insurance Journal)

→ For wholesalers and program administrators: Citizens held 4,562 commercial policies and $14 billion of insured value at the end of June.

The take

Two homeowners program businesses asked public investors to price the managing general agent model. Orion180 offered 20 million primary shares at $15.00 to $17.00 on September 9 to raise up to $340 million for itself. Bamboo offered 35 million shares at $18.00 to $20.00 on September 14, all of them secondary, with the proceeds going to CVC Capital Partners and White Mountains and none to the company. One is funding an insurance balance sheet, the other is selling a fee stream. Underneath both, KBW put January 1, 2027 property catastrophe rates down at least 10%, Plenum measured the catastrophe bond coupon at 8.87% and falling 13% year over year, and Artemis counted 14 first-time catastrophe bond sponsors in nine months.

If you front programs, take KBW's 10% as the floor for your 2027 quota share negotiation. If you run an MGA, read Bamboo's Texas Essential program and TrueNorth's September 8 community association facility as the same trade, which is underwriting the roof and the building age that carriers decline, and price what TDI's answer to Abbott's roof-age directive does to your Texas book before your next renewal cycle. If you allocate capital, the $1.7 billion top-of-range figure was the marketed ask; the deal priced at $12.00. The honest question about Bamboo is what the all-secondary structure says about the sellers' timing.


First Notice tracks the U.S. residential property program market: new MGA licenses, program launches, rate and form filings, fronting partnerships, and insurance litigation, from public regulatory and news sources. On the web: firstnoticeresearch.com

Why "First Notice"? In claims, first notice of loss is the first report that something has happened. This letter aims to be that report for the program market.

Subscribe free, weekly. Reply and tell me what you would want more of.

Get First Notice by email

New issues, straight to your inbox. No sharing your address.

All issues  ·  RSS  ·  About  ·  Privacy  ·  Corrections

First Notice · independent research on the residential program market

For information only. Not investment, legal, tax or insurance advice. Sources are public; verify before relying.

© 2026 First Notice Research